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Long Range Forecasts

Long Range Forecasting (LRF) function.

Node Leads: NIWA and BoM

Consortium members: MF, NOAA, UH, SPC, SPREP

Function Products Coverage Provider
Interpret GPC products Graphs and maps of GPC multi-model ensemble performance in terms of standard skill metrics Pacific RCC region BoM
Tailored regional LRF products and services Online Climate Outlook Forum (OCOF) Southwest Pacific BoM, SPREP
  Island Climate Update (ICU) Pacific RCC region except Hawaii NIWA
  Pacific Sea Level Anomalies (ensemble forecast) Pacific RCC region UHSLC, SPC
  French Polynesia and New Caledonia Climate Outlooks French Territories in Pacific Meteo-France
 

CLIK Pacific multi-model ensemble seasonal forecast maps

Pacific RCC Region

SPREP

Consensus statements Consensus statement produced at annual PICOF Pacific RCC region BoM, NIWA, NOAA, SPREP, SPC
  Quarterly Hawaii and Pacific Islands Climate Impacts and Outlook Central and Western Pacific NOAA NESDIS/NCEI
 

OCOF, ICU and METEO FRANCE monthly outlooks involve a teleconference-based consensus process

Pacific RCC region

BoM, SPREP, NIWA, METEO FRANCE

Verification

MetPI tool used for ICU

Monthly verification discussion during OCOF 

Pacific RCC region except Hawaii

Southwest Pacific

NIWA

BoM, SPREP

Online access Outlook products are available on various websites (including websites of NMHSs) Pacific RCC region BoM, NIWA, NOAA NWS, METEO FRANCE, SPC
Feedback mechanism The annual PICOF includes extensive discussion of LRF methodologies and models Pacific RCC region BoM, NIWA, NOAA, SPREP, SPC

 

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